Skip to main content

Your Move. My Mission.

Local Real Estate Market Report
The Hideout Community
Market Update
Wayne County, Northeast Pennsylvania │ Lake Ariel, PA 18436 │ Residential Properties
September 2026
Source: Pike Wayne Association of Realtors MLS — August 2026 Polygon Report
Homes Sold YTD
101
▲ 12.2% YOY
Median Sale Price YTD
$289,990
▼ 0.4% YOY
Avg Days on Market YTD
66
▲ 32.0% YOY
Months of Supply
4.96
▼ 19.0% YOY
Active Listings
67
▼ 13.0% YOY
Pending Sales YTD
101
▼ 4.7% YOY
Sale-to-List Ratio
~95%
approx., holding steady
Active Median List Price
$325,000
flat YOY
Most Active Price Band
$300K–$399K
31 sales YTD
Price Range Sold YTD
$120K–$500K+
101 closed transactions
Market Snapshot
Sales holding steady. Days on market stretching. Balance shifting toward buyers.

Through August 2026, The Hideout had 101 closed sales year to date, up 12.2% from 90 over the same period in 2025. The year-to-date median sale price sits at $289,990, essentially flat, down just 0.4% from $291,250 a year ago, which suggests pricing has stabilized rather than moved meaningfully in either direction. This month alone brought 13 closings, a low-volume snapshot worth reading with that context in mind.

Active inventory this month stands at 67 listings, down 13.0% from 77 a year ago, while months of supply eased to 4.96 from 6.12, a shift from buyer-leaning territory towards a buyer/seller balance. At the same time, homes are taking longer to sell: the year-to-date average days on market climbed to 66, up 32.0% from 50 last year. This month's average sale price jumped to $501,001, up 44.22% year over year, while the median sale price rose a more modest 10.71% to $310,000, a sign that one or more higher-end closings pulled this month's average upward without shifting where most buyers are actually transacting. Remember, one or two lakefronts can drastically change price points.

Sales Volume
+12.2%
YTD vs. prior year
Months of Supply
4.96 mo
Balanced, easing from 6.12
Avg Days on Market
66 days
Up from 50 days YTD 2025
Key Takeaway
The Hideout is transacting at a steady, slightly faster pace than last year, but longer days on market and an easing months-of-supply figure point to a market that has moved from buyer-favorable toward genuine balance.
For Sellers

▸ Active inventory is down 13.0% year over year, only 67 homes are currently available inside The Hideout, which means less competition for a new listing right now.

▸ Months of supply eased to 4.96 from 6.12 a year ago, a move toward balance and away from the buyer-favorable conditions seen last summer.

▸ Pending sales YTD are close to flat with last year (101 vs. 106), a signal of steady rather than runaway buyer demand.

▸ The sale-to-list ratio is holding in the mid-90s percent range, so well-priced homes are still closing close to asking.

For Buyers

▸ The YTD median sale price of $289,990 is essentially flat with last year, down just 0.4%, so pricing has stabilized rather than escalated.

▸ Homes are taking longer to sell: average days on market YTD is up to 66, a 32.0% increase over last year's 50, giving buyers more time to evaluate a decision.

▸ With months of supply at 4.96, the market sits in balanced territory rather than favoring sellers outright, there is real room to negotiate on the right listings.

▸ The $300K–$399K price band is the most active, with 31 closings YTD, buyers targeting that range should expect the most competition.

Understanding Average vs. Median

The average sale price adds up every closing and divides by the number of sales, so a single high-end home can pull it noticeably upward. The median is the true middle, half the sales were above it, half below, which makes it a steadier read on where most buyers are actually transacting.

This month, the average sale price inside The Hideout was $501,001, while the median landed at $310,000, a $191,001 gap. On just 13 closings this month, one or two higher-priced sales were enough to pull the average sharply upward (up 44.22% year over year) while the median moved a more modest 10.71%. The year-to-date figures tell a steadier story: an average of $354,775 against a median of $289,990. With 101 sales spread across a wide price range, the median remains the more reliable indicator of where most buyers in The Hideout are actually closing.

Price Band Activity — YTD Sales
Under $250K
30
$250K–$299K
23
$300K–$399K ★
31
$400K–$499K
5
$500K+
12
The $300K–$399K band leads with 31 YTD sales, more than a third of all closings, followed by the sub-$250K segment at 30 and the $250K–$299K band at 23. Together, homes priced under $400K account for roughly 82% of Hideout sales year to date.
Market Balance Indicator
Seller's Market (<4 mo)Balanced (4–6 mo)Buyer's Market (6+ mo)
This Month: 4.96 Months of Supply — Balanced Territory

At 4.96 months of supply, The Hideout sits within balanced territory, and it has eased notably from 6.12 months a year ago. At the current pace of sales, all available inventory would be absorbed in just under five months if no new homes came to market. For sellers, this is a meaningful improvement from a year ago. For buyers, it means less urgency than in a tight seller's market, though well-priced homes in the $300K–$399K core are still moving at a healthy clip.

Market Definitions
Seller's Market: under 4 months of supply, favors sellers
Balanced Market: 4–6 months of supply, favors neither side strongly
Buyer's Market: 6+ months of supply, favors buyers
Anne's Perspective
This is not a typical primary-residence market.

The Hideout draws the majority of its buyers from the New York metro area, New Jersey, and the Philadelphia corridor. These are second-home and vacation-property buyers making lifestyle-driven decisions, and their timelines, motivations, and price sensitivity operate differently than in a primary-home market. The steady year-to-date sales pace, 101 closings and counting, even as active inventory has tightened, tells us that demand from these feeder markets remains real even as the broader rate environment keeps some buyers weighing carrying costs against lifestyle return.

The Hideout is a four-season gated amenity community near Lake Ariel, with a private lake, pools, skiing, golf, tennis, and dining. Property types include single-family homes, chalets, townhomes, and vacant lots. Across the wider tri-county MLS region, covering Pike Wayne, Greater Scranton, and Pocono Mountains associations, closed sales are averaging roughly 87 days on market, a helpful backdrop for understanding why 66 days YTD within The Hideout still reads as a relatively efficient pace for a lifestyle-driven, second-home community.

New York Metro
Primary feeder market for second-home buyers
New Jersey
Strong equity-driven buyer pool
Philadelphia Corridor
Growing interest in Pocono region communities

Whether you're watching the market from across the state or across the street, these numbers are worth paying attention to. Sales are keeping pace with last year, inventory has eased into better balance, and pricing has held steady, a community that continues to draw genuine interest from feeder markets even as the broader landscape shifts. If you're thinking about your next move inside The Hideout, this is a good moment to get informed.

Your Move. My Mission.
From first call to final key, guided every step of the way.
Anne McCausland, Realtor │ Keller Williams Real Estate – Hawley
Office: 570-226-0500 │ Direct: 215-272-1348
yourmovemymissionpa.com
Data sourced from the Pike Wayne Association of Realtors MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Reflects The Hideout Community (Lake Ariel, PA 18436) polygon residential properties only. Sale-to-list ratio is approximate, based on the source chart rather than a printed figure. This report is for informational purposes and does not constitute an appraisal or legal advice. Prepared by Anne McCausland, Realtor — Keller Williams Real Estate, Hawley, PA.